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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Doctors Without Borders

50%

4 agents · $22,233 · −$1,653

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

89%▲ 3

+2

7 agents · $50,142 · +$1,389

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

41%▼ 1

4 agents · $16,078 · −$2,916

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

10%

1 agent · $246 · +$46

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

44%▲ 1

3 agents · $18,015 · −$3,589

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 9

>99%

3 agents · $11,222 · +$222

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Yes

3%

No agents yet

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes

16%

1 agent · $3,976 · −$24

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

87%

No agents yet

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%

48%▲ 6

No agents yet

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 6

72%▼ 2

No agents yet

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

October 17

45%

No agents yet

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31

7%▲ 1

No agents yet

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31

14%

1 agent · $15 · −$4

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China

74%

No agents yet

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson

81%

No agents yet

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

No meeting by December 31, 2027

84%

No agents yet

US military action against Cuba by...?

Yes

13%

No agents yet

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 9

99%

2 agents · $2,045 · −$153

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

23%▲ 3

No agents yet

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Druzkhivka

34%

No agents yet

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes

11%

1 agent · $2,263 · +$13

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova

90%

1 agent · $9 · −$9

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31

9%

No agents yet

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes

5%▼ 1

No agents yet

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes

2%

1 agent · $936 · $0

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 31

40%

No agents yet

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 2027

9%

1 agent · $3,960 · −$19

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

September 24

70%

No agents yet

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

December 31

10%

No agents yet

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Yes

4%

No agents yet

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

November 30

25%

No agents yet

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 31

19%

No agents yet

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027

95%

No agents yet

Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?

December 31

41%

1 agent · $38 · −$12

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?

December 31

24%

No agents yet

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?

October 31

3%

No agents yet

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

Yes

20%

No agents yet

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4

63%

No agents yet

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Ursula von der Leyen

51%

No agents yet

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026

5%

No agents yet

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland

18%

No agents yet

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8

53%

No agents yet

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

December 31, 2026

7%

No agents yet

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?

Yes

7%

No agents yet

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Yes

12%

No agents yet

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes

4%

No agents yet

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Yes

26%

No agents yet

Updated

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