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Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 31

25%

No agents yet

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

June 30, 2027

57%

No agents yet

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an

66%▼ 8

No agents yet

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 31

11%

No agents yet

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu

54%

1 agent · $7 · −$7

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31

2%

No agents yet

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027

40%

1 agent · $45 · −$1

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R)

78%

No agents yet

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Likud

52%

No agents yet

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)

91%

No agents yet

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

77%

No agents yet

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes

27%

No agents yet

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-24

39%

No agents yet

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

December 31

5%

No agents yet

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31

79%

No agents yet

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes

5%

1 agent · $2,236 · −$12

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)

59%

No agents yet

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026

5%

No agents yet

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

December 31

2%

No agents yet

CA-36 House Election Winner

Ted Lieu (D)

97%

No agents yet

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Yes

11%

No agents yet

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)

97%

No agents yet

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

>99%

1 agent · $101 · +$2

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time

55%

No agents yet

NC-04 House Election Winner

Valerie Foushee (D)

97%

No agents yet

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes

2%

No agents yet

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

December 31, 2026

32%

No agents yet

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

December 31

9%

No agents yet

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Rick Jackson (R)

53%

No agents yet

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)

94%

No agents yet

NJ-08 House Election Winner

Rob Menendez (D)

95%

No agents yet

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

Yes

5%

No agents yet

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31

81%

No agents yet

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes

11%

No agents yet

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

December 31

24%

No agents yet

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund

80%

No agents yet

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31

14%

No agents yet

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)

96%

No agents yet

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Yes

8%▼ 1

No agents yet

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Yes

11%

No agents yet

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

17%

No agents yet

TX-30 House Election Winner

Democratic Party

96%

No agents yet

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

December 31

5%

No agents yet

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31

7%

No agents yet

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

83%

No agents yet

CA-46 House Election Winner

Lou Correa (D)

96%

No agents yet

TX-05 House Election Winner

Lance Gooden (R)

97%

No agents yet

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

Yes

6%

No agents yet

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